Friday 14 March 2008

Looking Ahead. Best Actress 2009

Boy are there ALOT of women vying for a spot. Yes there are the usual names, but also some new comers which is always welcome.

Meryl Streep – “Doubt”
Probably the baitiest of the bunch. Meryl has fourteen nominations and has not won an Oscar for 26 years! I say that it is about time that the greatest living actress wins another and she very well could with this very delectable role. Just a shame it may come at the cost of a win for Kate the Great.

Laura Linney - "The Other Man"
Ruchard Eyre has a great track record when it comes to getting his cast Oscar noms. Laura Linney could be in receipt of one as a woman possibly having an affair. Plus she is due.

Sigourney Weaver – “The Girl in the Park”
This looked like it was going to open last year, but now it is 2008. Some people have raved about her performance….others have not. Most people have always been this divisive with Weaver, is it time for her to be embraced by the Academy again?

Evan Rachel Wood & Rebecca Hall – “Bronte”
Who will go lead, and who will go supporting in this tale about the two sisters Emily and Anne. My guess is Wood goes lead as she is the bigger star.

Tilda Swinton – “Come Like Shadows”
Tilda takes on Lady MacBeth and boy oh boy is it a corker of a role! Director John Maybury has two high profile actress pieces this year. Can Tilda hit it out of the park?

Gabourey ‘Gabby’ Sidibe” – “Push”
Stole this from Nathaniels page. Nothing is really known about this film about an overweight, illiterate teen who, pregnant with her second child, is invited to enroll in an alternative school in hopes that her life can head in a new direction. It does sound like a break out role though and the film is supposed to be inspirational.

Salma Hayek – “Keep Coming Back”
Hayek plays an alcoholic stripper probably with a heart of gold in this film directed by William H. Macy.

Ashley Judd – “Helen”
She has not had any luck with the Academy. This film about a clinically depressed professor sounds juicy, but these type of film can go horribly wrong under bad direction.

Keira Knightley – “The Dutchess” and Keira Knightley – “The Edge of Love”
The first is about the Pricess Diana of her day Georgiana, The Dutchess of Devonshire. The second is about a woman in three way relationship with a poet. I expect the latter of the films will be the true test to Knightley and I am sure she can pull it off.

Emily Blunt – “The Young Victoria”
Everyone loves this actress. I just do not see it, and I have a sneaky feeling that love will be tested with her first starring dramatic role. She could dazzle in this, or she could be way in over her head, but most likely the Academy may be sick of the Royal Family.

Jessica Lange – “Grey Gardens”
This sounds like a walk in the park for her on paper in the film based on the life stories of the eccentric aunt and first cousin of Jackie Kennedy. She could walk away with it, ot her co-star could, or it could be a complete disaster.

Anna Paquin – “Margaret”
Delayed from 2006, this story of a witness to a bus crash disaster has gotten raves from the few who have seen it. It is about time Paquin made a come back, and this looks like the film to do so.

Susan Sarandon – “Middle of Nowhere”
Susan plays a no good mom. Sounds like it could be juicy, but she disappointed so much with “Enchanted” that I wonder if she has lost her mojo.

Emily Watson – “Within the Whirlwind”
Drama about Russian poet Evgenia Ginzburg, who survived the Gulag thanks to her belief in poetry. Sounds baity as hell, and Watson is a brilliant actress, but this could easily disappear.

Angelina Jolie – “Changeling”
Directed by Clint Eastwood sounds like a instant Oscar nomination for any actress. The man has a great track record with actors, but something does not quite feel right with this just yet. If she could not get a nomination for "A Mighty Heart" she would have to blow the screen apart to get in for this.

Jill Scott – “The No 1. Ladies Detective Agency”
What you say! But hear me out. She has charisma to spare, and she is directed by Anthony Minghella in a wonderful role from the best selling novel. If she can do what I think she can do with this role I expect it to be one of the loved performances of the year.

Kate Winslet – “The Reader” or “Revolutionary Road”
Kate the great has so busy this year. If “The Reader” goes supporting she could easily be in with a double nomination. Out of both of these I think the latter is the juicier part, but the former she would age and sport an accent. Choices choices.

Kerry Washington – “Lakeview Terrace” or “Mama Black Widow”
These are both long shots, but the actress sports a huge talent. I would not be surprised to see at least one of these garner her some buzz.

Charlize Theron – “The Burning Plains”
A mother daughter drama (mother played by Kim Basinger) looks like it could be powerful or slushy. Never underestimate Theron though, she could be back.

Sally Hawkins – “Happy-Go-Lucky”
Mike Leigh is hugely successful with his actress’s. This looks like a fun role which she already won the Golden Bear for. If the films goes down well, she could well be in.

Emma Thompson – “Last Chance Harvey” or “Brideshead Revisited”
The first a romantic comedy with Dustin Hoffman, the second needs no introduction. It would be grand to see Emma back in the mix, and it looks like she will be memorable in the lead role.

Rosamund Pike – “An Education”
I loved her in “Pride and Prejudice” and I hope she continues to get good roles. This story of a teenage girl in 1960’s London sounds like it could be one to watch.

Ziyi Zhang – “Mei Lanfang”
Could be the first Asain actress nominated for an Oscar…EVER!! (for shame). This bio pic of the famous Chinese Opera singer could be eye popping, and a wonderful technical achievement. Zhang has been proving herself a better actress with every outing.

Rachel McAdams – “The Time Travelers Wife”
I hold out little hope this movie will be any where near as wonderful as the book. However Rachel has loads of talent.

Nicole Kidman – “Australia”
If only……The woman challenges herself and never ever seems to get the recognition she deserves. Lets hope this is at least a commercial hit for her.


Samantha Morton – “Flying into Love” or “The Daisy Chain”
The first a film about the JFK assassination The second an Omen-esque thriller. Either could bomb, but never count the woman out. She has surprised before.

Audrey Tautou – “Coco avant Chanel”
On paper this looks like a hell of a lot of fun, and a chance for Tautou to remind us why we fell in love with her in the first place. Playing Coco Chanel cannot hurt as the Academy is embracing foreign actresses more and more, especially in a bio-pic.

Felicity Huffman – “The Politician’s Wife”
I have no idea where this could go. It does sound like a good baity role for her.

Michelle Pfeiffer – “Cheri” or “Chasing Montana” or “Personal Effects”
I have never been a huge fan, but there are those out there who are rampant. Two if the three could easily get pushed to 2009. Out of them “Cheri” sounds like the best bet, but “Chasing Montana” could be “On Golden Pond” esque

Franka Potente – “La Traque”
Based on the true story of the Klarsfelds, a Franco-German couple who devoted themselves to bringing Nazi war criminals to justice. Never ever bet against the Holocaust.

Halle Berry – “Tulia” or “Who Is Doris Payne?” or “Class Act”
The first is about an attorney who works on behalf of a group of local black men who are wrongly convicted of their involvement in a drug ring.
The second is the story based on the life of 75 year old international jewel thief, Doris Payne, whose career spanned over five decades.
The third is about a Nevada school teacher who enlists the help of her sixth-grade students in her congressional campaign. Based on a true story of Tierney Cahill.

Julianne Moore – “Blindness” or “Savage Grace”
Jules has had a tough time of it. Now it looks like she may be back on track with two very very exciting roles.
In “Blindness” she plays a doctor's wife who becomes the only person with the ability to see in a town where everyone is struck with a mysterious case of sudden blindness. “Grace” is the true story of the beautiful and charismatic Barbara Daly, who married above her class to Brooks Baekeland, heir to the Bakelite plastics fortune. Either film could win her raves, but I think it will be “Grace” that tops for the year.

Gwyneth Paltrow – “Two Lovers”
The film is a Brooklyn-set romantic drama about a bachelor torn between the family friend his parents wish he would marry and his beautiful but volatile new neighbor. No word on which role is Gwynies but me thinks volatile gets noticed more.

Drew Barrymore – “Grey Gardens”
I actually think this could happen. I have always hoped she would find her acting talent. Sure she over flows with charisma, but does she have dramatic chops? Here is hoping she can finally leave Drew behind.

Natalie Portman – “Brothers”
I still think she is far too young for this role.

Dakota Fanning – “The Secret Life of Bees”
The book is wonderful, and she is the perfect age, although I am not sure how dramatic a role it is. From remembering the book I think the supporting players have a lot more work.

Queen Latifah – “The Secret Life of Bees”
Which is where she comes in. I seem to remember this role being very big and very central. Here is hoping Latifah can bring some of that “Life Support” drama to this role.

Sophie Okonedo – “Skin”
Based on the true story of a black girl who was born to two white Afrikaner parents in South Africa during the apartheid era. Sounds great on paper, and she is a wonderful actress, but how

Maria Bello – “Downloading Nancy”
Not the hit it was supposed to be at Sundance, and there were a few who questioned the performance. Bound to be controversial, but is it good enough for Oscar to see it?

Kate Beckinsale – “Nothing But the Truth”
She plays a female reporter faces a possible jail sentence for outing a CIA agent and refusing to reveal her source. I like her, but have never once thought of her as a great actress. I would love for her to prove me wrong.

Julia Roberts – “Fireflies in the Garden”
A family drama so do not yet know how 'lead' she is yet.

Julie Delpy – “The Countess”
If bathing in the blood of virgins doesn’t get you nominated, I do not know what will! She plays the famous Erzebet Bathory in this sure to be attention grabbing film, plus she wrote and directed it. It could easily be pushed to 2009.

Penelope Cruz – “Elegy”
She is amazing in her own language, now can she translate that to English. She plays a woman being obsessed by Ben Kingsley. Is this supporting?

Anne Hathaway – “Dancing With Shiva”
In this she play an ex-model who has been in and out from rehab for the past 10 years returns home for the weekend for her sister's wedding. Can Jonathan Demme direct another woman to Oscar?

If you had to twist my arm to pick right now I would have the hardest time. So I am going to try and think of the performances that could surprise and end up being remembered no matter how odd they look now.

Meryl Streep – “Doubt”
Keira Knightley – “The Edge of Love”
Anna Paquin – “Margaret”
Ziyi Zhang – “Mei Lanfang”
Jill Scott – “The No 1. Ladies Detective Agency”

6 comments:

Notas Sobre Creación Cultural e Imaginarios Sociales said...

Deep down inside don't you feel that the Academy will reward both Leo and Kate next year?
You know how sentimental the Academy is and there'll be a lot of fuzz about their reteaming after Titanic and what not.
Plus voters will realize how far both actors have gone in a decade and with Oscar they will give them a perfect start for the next decade.

Michael Parsons said...

I am not so sure about that. Sure the Academy has been known to be sentimental, however if this was the case we would have been looking at wins for Julie Christie, Hal Holbrook and Ruby Dee.

I actually think sentimentalism may be kind of over. Even Roger Deakins didn't win yet again.

As much as I would love to see Kate win I am under the suspicion that she may go Supporting for "The Reader" leaving someone else to win lead.

But at this point who the hell knows, silly to even make predictions!

Anonymous said...

hey michael, if PUSH is brought to film and any percentage as devastatingly beautiful and as sharply gritty as the novel (think the Colour Purple set in 1990's)then any actress who can carry off either of the two co-leads would deserve a nom from the oscars. i bought 4 copies of that novel for friends and told the rest to buy it after reading it. you should look for it, a quick read that.

Michael Parsons said...

I will add that to my list. Worried about this now as I went to the director of the projects web page and nary a mention of it. Just looking at her photo makes me root for her.

Anonymous said...

OMG it would be wonderful to see Jill Scott get a nomination. The book is marvelous!

Anonymous said...

Bad news about the release of The No.1 Ladies Detective Agency... The premiere will be in BBC in TV so, it's impossible for an Oscar nomination... and La Traque has premiere on French and German TV in Autum 2008

around analogies, i don't have faith about Knightley... I love her in Pride and prejudice but I hate her in Atonement. "The Duchess" seems to become a bomp flop like Marie antoinette, Elizabeth: The Golden Age and Memoirs of a geisha...

Franka Potente, unleast for me, she has more chances in the supporting category for Guerrilla/The Argentine

My predictions:
-Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria: Like you said everyone loves her and I'm one of them... For me she's more talented and pretty than Knightley.
-Julianne Moore, Blindness: She has two great roles. Savage grace has mixed reviews but almost all the critics loves her performance... Like Reese Witherspoon, Jessica Lange and Marion Cotillard. But I think Blindness is more Oscar worthy.
-Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road: She has more chances in supporting categories for "The Reader"
-Meryl Streep, Doubt: She's the american queen of cinema but be careful... Last Broadway adaptations are not very likely to the AMPAS...
-Angelina Jolie, Changeling: Her snub for "A mighty heart"+Suffering mother and wife+Clint Eastwood+Star power... I don't need to say more

Alts:
-Natalie Portman, Brothers: Oscarish role, talented and young actress... but it's enough?
-Sophie Okonedo, Skin: Victim role+Real character+Diversity...
-Anne Hathaway, Dancing with Sheba: Since 2005 she has in Oscar bailty roles and films... Brokeback Mountain, The devil wears Prada and Becoming Jane... With Demme she could get her first nomination? It's possible
-Sally hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky: Winner at Berlinale this year in a Mike Leigh's production? It's possible
-Laura Linney, The other man: Richard Eyre's productions are Oscar bailty unleast for the actors and in this Oscars we proof one theory: Laura Linney is beloved in Hollywood